ɛ) W |
4P |
1 (II, 6,3) |
N N 1 |
ɂɡ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɵ (II, 6, 1) ɜɢɞɧɨ, ɱɬɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ IJ ɩɪɟɞɫɬɚɜɥɹɟɬ ɫɨɛɨɣ ɪɚɡɧɨɫɬɶ ɞɨɥɢ ɩɚɪ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ, ɭ ɤɨɬɨɪɵɯ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɚɟɬ ɩɨɪɹɞɨɤ ɩɨ ɨɛɨɢɦ ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚɦ (ɩɨ ɨɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɸ ɤ ɱɢɫɥɭ ɜɫɟɯ ɩɚɪ)
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¸ɢ ɞɨɥɢ ɩɚɪ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ, ɭ ɤɨɬɨɪɵɯ ɩɨɪɹɞɨɤ ɧɟ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɚɟɬ |
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¸. ɇɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, |
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N N 1 ¸¸ |
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N N 1 ¸¸ |
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ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ 0,60 ɨɡɧɚɱɚɟɬ, ɱɬɨ ɭ 80% ɩɚɪ ɩɨɪɹɞɨɤ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɚɟɬ, ɚ ɭ 20% ɧɟ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɚɟɬ (80% + 20% = 100%; 0,80 – 0,20 = 0,60). Ɍ.ɟ. IJ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɬɪɚɤɬɨɜɚɬɶ ɤɚɤ ɪɚɡɧɨɫɬɶ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɟɣ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɟɧɢɹ ɢ ɧɟ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɟɧɢɹ ɩɨɪɹɞɤɨɜ ɩɨ ɨɛɨɢɦ ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚɦ ɞɥɹ ɧɚɭɝɚɞ ɜɵɛɪɚɧɧɨɣ ɩɚɪɵɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ.
ȼɨɛɳɟɦ ɫɥɭɱɚɟ ɪɚɫɱɟɬIJ (ɬɨɱɧɟɟ Ɋ ɢɥɢ Q) ɞɚɠɟ ɞɥɹ N ɩɨɪɹɞɤɚ 10 ɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ ɝɪɨɦɨɡɞɤɢɦ. ɉɨɤɚɠɟɦ, ɤɚɤɭɩɪɨɫɬɢɬɶɜɵɱɢɫɥɟɧɢɹ.
Ɋɚɫɩɨɥɨɠɢɦ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɵ ɬɚɤ, ɱɬɨɛɵ ɢɯ ɪɚɧɝɢ ɩɨ X ɩɪɟɞɫɬɚɜɢɥɢ ɧɚɬɭɪɚɥɶɧɵɣ ɪɹɞ. Ɍɚɤ ɤɚɤ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ, ɩɪɢɩɢɫɵɜɚɟɦɵɟ ɤɚɠɞɨɣ ɩɚɪɟ ɷɬɨɝɨ ɪɹɞɚ, ɩɨɥɨɠɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟ, ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ «+1», ɜɯɨɞɹɳɢɟ ɜ Ɋ, ɛɭɞɭɬɩɨɪɨɠɞɚɬɶɫɹɬɨɥɶɤɨɬɟɦɢɩɚɪɚɦɢ, ɪɚɧɝɢɤɨɬɨɪɵɯɩɨ Y ɨɛɪɚɡɭɸɬɩɪɹɦɨɣɩɨɪɹɞɨɤ. ɂɯ ɥɟɝɤɨ
ɩɨɞɫɱɢɬɚɬɶ, ɫɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɹɹɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɪɚɧɝɢɤɚɠɞɨɝɨɨɛɴɟɤɬɚɜɪɹɞɭ Y ɫɨɫɬɚɥɶɧɵɦɢ. |
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ɉɨɤɚɠɟɦ, ɤɚɤɜɵɱɢɫɥɹɬɶ W . Ɋɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɢɦɬɚɛɥɢɰɭɞɥɹ N = 10: |
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Ɉɛɴɟɤɬɵ |
A |
B |
C |
D |
E |
F |
G |
H |
K |
L |
Ɋɚɧɝɩɨ X |
6 |
4 |
2 |
10 |
9 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
Ɋɚɧɝɩɨ Y |
8 |
7 |
6 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
ɍɩɨɪɹɞɨɱɢɦɪɚɧɝɢɩɨ X: |
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Ɉɛɴɟɤɬɵ |
G |
C |
F |
B |
H |
A |
K |
L |
E |
D |
Ɋɚɧɝɩɨ X |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
Ɋɚɧɝɩɨ Y |
1 |
6 |
2 |
7 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
9 |
5 |
10 |
ȼɪɹɞɭ Y ɫɩɪɚɜɚ ɨɬ 1 ɪɚɫɩɨɥɨɠɟɧɨ 9 ɪɚɧɝɨɜ, ɩɪɟɜɨɫɯɨɞɹɳɢɯ 1, ɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, 1 ɩɨɪɨɞɢɬ ɜ
Ɋɫɥɚɝɚɟɦɨɟ 9. ɋɩɪɚɜɚɨɬ
[108] |
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6 ɫɬɨɹɬ 4 |
ɪɚɧɝɚ, |
ɩɪɟɜɨɫɯɨɞɹɳɢɯ 6 |
(ɷɬɨ 7, |
8, 9, |
10), ɬ.ɟ. |
ɜ |
Ɋ ɜɨɣɞɟɬ |
4 ɢ |
ɬ.ɞ. ȼ |
ɢɬɨɝɟ |
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Ɋ=9+4+7+3+5+2+3+1+1 = 35 ɢɫ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟɦ (III,6,3) ɢɦɟɟɦ: W |
= + 0,56. |
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ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 49. 12 ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ ɯɚɪɚɤɬɟɪɢɡɭɸɬɫɹ ɞɜɭɦɹ ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚɦɢ X ɢ Y. ɉɨɫɥɟ |
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ɭɩɨɪɹɞɨɱɟɧɢɹɪɚɧɝɨɜɩɨ X ɬɚɛɥɢɰɚɩɪɢɧɹɥɚɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɢɣɜɢɞ: |
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Ɋɚɧɝɩɨ X |
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Ɋɚɧɝɩɨ Y |
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1 |
5 |
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11 |
9 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
ȼɵɱɢɫɥɢɬɶɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɄɟɧɞɷɥɚ. |
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Ⱦɥɹɤɨɧɬɪɨɥɹɜɵɱɢɫɥɟɧɢɣ: Ɋ = 53 (Q=13), W =-0,24 |
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ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 50. ȼɵɱɢɫɥɢɬɶ W ɞɥɹɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɨɜ X ɢ Y ɩɨɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɢɦɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹɦɪɚɧɝɨɜ: |
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Ɉɛɴɟɤɬɵ |
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X–ɪɚɧɝ |
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Y–ɪɚɧɝ |
7 |
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10 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
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Ɉɬɜɟɬ: IJ= – 0,24 |
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ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 20. ɉɪɢɢɡɭɱɟɧɢɢɫɜɹɡɢɦɟɠɞɭɭɞɨɜɥɟɬɜɨɪɟɧɧɨɫɬɶɸɪɚɛɨɬɨɣ (Jp) ɢɬɟɤɭɱɟɫɬɶɸ (KT) |
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ɪɚɛɨɬɧɢɤɨɜɜ «ɫɟɱɟɧɢɢ» ɜɨɡɪɚɫɬɧɵɯɝɪɭɩɩɛɵɥɢɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɵɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɢɟɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ (ɈɋɊɁ): |
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ȼɨɡɪɚɫɬɧɚɹ |
KT (%) |
Jp |
ɪɚɧɝɩɨɏ(KT) |
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ɪɚɧɝɩɨ Y(Jp) |
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ɝɪɭɩɩɚ |
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74
ɞɨ 18 ɥɟɬ |
12,9 |
0,57 |
5 |
5 |
18–19 |
13,0 |
0,38 |
4 |
7 |
20–21 |
17,1 |
0,35 |
3 |
8 |
22–24 |
37,1 |
0,24 |
1 |
9 |
25–30 |
19,9 |
0,39 |
2 |
6 |
31–40 |
7,9 |
0,59 |
6 |
4 |
41–50 |
5,6 |
0,69 |
9 |
3 |
51–60 |
6,1 |
0,76 |
8 |
2 |
ɫɜɵɲɟ 60 ɥɟɬ |
6,4 |
0,77 |
7 |
1 |
Ⱦɥɹɜɵɱɢɫɥɟɧɢɹ IJ ɪɚɧɠɢɪɭɟɦ ɝɪɭɩɩɵ ɩɨ KT ɜ ɩɨɪɹɞɤɟɧɚɬɭɪɚɥɶɧɨɝɨɪɹɞɚ:
ȼɨɡɪɚɫɬɧɚɹɝɪɭɩɩɚ |
ɪɚɧɝɩɨɏ (KT) |
ɪɚɧɝɩɨ Y (Jp) |
Pi |
Qi |
22-24 |
1 |
9 |
0 |
8 |
25-30 |
2 |
6 |
2 |
5 |
20-21 |
3 |
8 |
0 |
6 |
18-19 |
4 |
7 |
0 |
5 |
Ⱦɨ 18 |
5 |
5 |
0 |
4 |
31–40 |
6 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
ɋɜɵɲɟ 60 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
51–60 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
41–50 |
9 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
P=5 Q=31 |
5 31 |
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ɋɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, W |
0,72. |
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9 8 |
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[109] |
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Ɂɚɦɟɬɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɞɥɹ ɧɚɯɨɠɞɟɧɢɹ IJ ɞɨɫɬɚɬɨɱɧɨ ɛɵɥɨ ɧɚɣɬɢ ɥɢɲɶ Ɋ ɢ ɩɪɢɦɟɧɢɬɶ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɭ (II,6,3). Ɂɞɟɫɶ ɜɨɡɧɢɤɚɟɬ ɟɫɬɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɣ ɜɨɩɪɨɫ: ɤɚɤ ɨɰɟɧɢɬɶ ɷɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ IJ. əɫɧɨ, ɱɬɨ ɫɜɹɡɶ ɨɬɪɢɰɚɬɟɥɶɧɚɹ (ɨɛɪɚɬɧɚɹ), ɧɨ ɧɚɫɤɨɥɶɤɨ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɚ ɨɧɚ?
ɉɪɨɜɟɪɤɚ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ. Ɂɚɞɚɞɢɦɫɹ ɜɨɩɪɨɫɨɦ: ɤɚɤɨɜɚ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɧɨɝɨ ɧɚ ɨɩɵɬɟɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢɪɚɧɝɨɜIJ ɢɥɢ, ɞɪɭɝɢɦɢɫɥɨɜɚɦɢ, ɩɪɢɞɚɧɧɨɦ IJ ɫ ɤɚɤɨɣ ɫɬɟɩɟɧɶɸ ɧɚɞɟɠɧɨɫɬɢ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɭɬɜɟɪɠɞɚɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɫɜɹɡɶ ɦɟɠɞɭ ɞɜɭɦɹ ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚɦɢ ɞɟɣɫɬɜɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɭɟɬ?
ɉɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɫɜɹɡɢ ɧɟɬ. ɗɬɨ ɨɡɧɚɱɚɟɬ, ɱɬɨ, ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, ɩɪɢ ɮɢɤɫɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɨɣ ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ Y-ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɚ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɟ ɥɸɛɨɣ ɏ-ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɪɚɜɧɨɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɨ. Ɉɛɴɟɤɬɵɜɫɟɝɞɚɦɨɠɧɨɩɟɪɟɫɬɚɜɢɬɶɬɚɤ, ɱɬɨɛɵ Y-ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɶ ɨɤɚɡɚɥɚɫɶ ɭɩɨɪɹɞɨɱɟɧɧɨɣ ɜ ɜɢɞɟ ɧɚɬɭɪɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɹɞɚ: 1, 2, ..., N. ȼɫɟɝɨ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵɯ ɏ-ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɟɣ (N!). Ʉɚɠɞɚɹ,
ɬɚɤɢɦ ɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ, ɢɦɟɟɬ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɹ 1 . Ʉɚɠɞɨɣ ɏ-ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɟɬ
N!
ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɨɟ S = Ɋ – Q (ɢ IJ, ɡɚɤɥɸɱɟɧɧɨɟ ɦɟɠɞɭ –1 ɢ +1). ɋɪɟɞɢ ɷɬɢɯ IJ ɧɟ ɜɫɟ ɛɭɞɭɬ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵɦɢ (ɫɦ. ɧɢɠɟ). ɋɨɜɨɤɭɩɧɨɫɬɶ IJ ɜɦɟɫɬɟ ɫ ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɸɳɢɦɢ ɱɚɫɬɨɬɚɦɢ ɢɯ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɹ ɨɛɪɚɡɭɟɬ ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɨɟ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ. ȼ ɞɚɥɶɧɟɣɲɟɦ, ɨɞɧɚɤɨ, ɧɚɦ ɛɭɞɟɬ ɭɞɨɛɧɨ ɪɚɫɫɦɚɬɪɢɜɚɬɶ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɱɚɫɬɨɬ S (ɪɚɡɭɦɟɟɬɫɹ, ɢɞɟɧɬɢɱɧɨɟ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɸ IJ, ɬ.ɤ. IJ ɨɬɥɢɱɚɟɬɫɹ ɨɬ S ɥɢɲɶ ɩɨɫɬɨɹɧɧɵɦɦɧɨɠɢɬɟɥɟɦ CN2 , ɧɟɦɟɧɹɸɳɢɦɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ).
ȿɫɥɢ, ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, N = 4, ɬɨ ɩɪɢ ɡɚɞɚɧɧɨɣ Y-ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ 1,2,3,4 ɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɵ 4! = 1 • 2 • 3 • 4 = 24 ɏ-ɩɨɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ (ɩɨɥɟɡɧɨɪɚɫɩɢɫɚɬɶɢɯ).
75
ɉɨɤɚɠɟɦ, ɱɬɨ ɧɟ ɜɫɟ ɨɧɢ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵ (ɜ ɫɦɵɫɥɟ S) ɢ ɧɚɣɞɟɦɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɱɚɫɬɨɬ:
SP Q 2P 1 (N 1)N
2
ɋɪɟɞɢ 24-ɯ ɩɟɪɟɫɬɚɧɨɜɨɤ ɧɚɣɞɟɬɫɹ ɥɢɲɶ ɨɞɧɚ (4, 3, 2; 1) ɫ Ɋ = 0 (ɢ S = – 6
ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ), ɬɪɢ (4, 3, 1, 2; 4, 2, 3, 1; 3,4, 2, 1)ɫ Ɋ = 1(S= – 4), ɩɹɬɶ (4, 2, 1,3; 4, 1,3,2; 3, 4, 1, 2; 3,2, 4, 1; 2, 4, 3, 1) ɫ Ɋ = 2 (S = – 2), ɲɟɫɬɶ ɫ P = 3 (S = 0), ɩɹɬɶ ɫ Ɋ = 4 (S = 2), ɬɪɢ ɫ Ɋ = 5 (S = 4), ɨɞɧɚ ɫ Ɋ = 6 (S = 6).
Ɍɚɤɢɦɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ, ɦɵɢɦɟɟɦ7 ɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵɯS (ɢIJ) ɫɫɢɦɦɟɬɪɢɱɧɵɦɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɦɱɚɫɬɨɬ:
[110]
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Ɋ |
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0 |
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3 |
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S |
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–6 |
–4 |
–2 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
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nS |
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1 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
(¦nS |
24 ) |
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s |
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Ⱥɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɨ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɩɨɥɭɱɢɬɶ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ ɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɪɭɝɢɯ N. ɇɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, ɞɥɹ N = 8 ɱɢɫɥɨ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵɯ S ɪɚɜɧɨ 15: Ɉ ± 2 ± 4 ± ... ±28. ɉɪɢɜɟɞɟɦ ɱɚɫɬɨɬɵ ɞɥɹ S 0 (ɞɥɹ S < Ɉ ɱɚɫɬɨɬɵ ɬɟ ɠɟ, ɱɬɨ ɞɥɹ S > 0 ɩɪɢ ɨɞɢɧɚɤɨɜɵɯ ɦɨɞɭɥɹɯ):
S |
nS |
S |
nS |
S |
nS |
0 |
3826 |
10 |
1940 |
20 |
174 |
2 |
3736 |
12 |
1415 |
22 |
76 |
4 |
3450 |
14 |
961 |
24 |
27 |
6 |
3017 |
16 |
602 |
26 |
7 |
8 |
2493 |
18 |
343 |
28 |
1 |
Ɇɚɤɫɢɦɚɥɶɧɚɹ ɱɚɫɬɨɬɚ ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɟɬ S = 0, ɫ ɪɨɫɬɨɦ S ɱɚɫɬɨɬɵ ɦɨɧɨɬɨɧɧɨ
ɭɦɟɧɶɲɚɸɬɫɹ, ɞɨɫɬɢɝɚɹ 1 ɩɪɢ S ɬɚɯ = CN2 ; (|IJ| = 1). ȿɫɥɢ N ɧɟɱɟɬɧɨ, ɬɨ, ɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ, ɢɦɟɸɬɫɹ 2
ɦɚɤɫɢɦɭɦɚ, ɩɪɢɯɨɞɹɳɢɟɫɹ ɧɚ S = ± 1 ɫɭɜɟɥɢɱɟɧɢɟɦ |S| ɱɚɫɬɨɬɵɬɚɤɠɟɭɦɟɧɶɲɚɸɬɫɹ. ɉɭɫɬɶ N = 3, ɢɦɟɟɦ 6 ɩɟɪɟɫɬɚɧɨɜɨɤ:
1)3 2 1 Ɋ = 0 S = – 3 nS = 1
2)3 1 2 Ɋ = 1 S = – 1 nS = 2
3)2 3 1 Ɋ = 1
4)2 1 3 Ɋ = 2 S = +1 nS = 2
5)1 3 2 Ɋ = 2
6)1 2 3 Ɋ = 3 S = 3 nS = 1
ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 51. Ⱦɥɹ ɫɥɭɱɚɹ N = 5 ɭɛɟɞɢɬɶɫɹ ɜ ɫɩɪɚɜɟɞɥɢɜɨɫɬɢ ɬɨɝɨ, ɱɬɨ ɢɦɟɸɬɫɹ 2 ɦɚɤɫɢɦɭɦɚ (S = ±1), ɚ ɫ ɭɜɟɥɢɱɟɧɢɟɦ |S| ɱɚɫɬɨɬɚ ɭɦɟɧɶɲɚɟɬɫɹ, ɞɨɫɬɢɝɚɹ 1 ɩɪɢ S CN2
ɍɠɟ ɢɡ ɪɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɟɧɢɹ ɫɥɭɱɚɟɜ N = 4, 5, 8 ɹɫɧɨ, ɱɬɨ ɨɫɧɨɜɧɚɹ ɱɚɫɬɶ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɣ S (ɢ IJ) ɤɨɧɰɟɧɬɪɢɪɭɟɬɫɹ ɜɛɥɢɡɢ ɧɭɥɹ. ȿɫɥɢ ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ S ɞɨɫɬɚɬɨɱɧɨ ɞɚɥɟɤɨ ɨɬ ɫɪɟɞɧɟɝɨ (ɧɭɥɟɜɨɝɨ), ɬɨ ɢ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɟɝɨ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɹ ɨɱɟɧɶ ɦɚɥɚ.
76
ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 21. ɉɭɫɬɶ ɩɪɢ N = 8 ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ S = 18 ɢɦɟɟɬ ɱɚɫɬɨɬɭ nS = 343. ȼɵɱɢɫɥɢɦ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɬɨɝɨ, ɱɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ S = 18 ɩɨɹɜɢɬɫɹ ɫɥɭɱɚɣɧɨ, ɬ.ɟ. ɫ ɤɚɤɨɣ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶɸ ɦɵ ɨɬɜɟɪɝɚɟɦɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɭ ɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢ (ɢɭɬɜɟɪɠɞɚɟɦɧɚɥɢɱɢɟɫɜɹɡɢ).
ɋɨɛɵɬɢɸ «S ɧɟ ɦɟɧɶɲɟ 18» ɛɥɚɝɨɩɪɢɹɬɫɬɜɭɸɬ 343 + 174 + 76 + 27 + 7 + 1 = 628 ɪɚɜɧɨɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɵɯ ɷɥɟɦɟɧɬɚɪɧɵɯ ɫɨɛɵɬɢɣ, ɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɪɚɜɧɚ 628/8! § 0.016, ɨɧɚ ɧɟɜɟɥɢɤɚ.
[111]
Ɉɛɵɱɧɨ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɸɬɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɢɣɤɪɢɬɟɪɢɣɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ: ɟɫɥɢ ɧɚɛɥɸɞɚɟɦɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ S ɬɚɤɨɜɨ, ɱɬɨ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɹ ɷɬɨɝɨ ɢɥɢ ɛɨɥɶɲɟɝɨ ɩɨ ɚɛɫɨɥɸɬɧɨɣ ɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ ɞɨɫɬɚɬɨɱɧɨ ɦɚɥɚ (ɜ ɫɨɰɢɚɥɶɧɵɯ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɹɯ, ɤɚɤ ɭɠɟ ɨɬɦɟɱɚɥɨɫɶ, ɦɚɥɨɣ ɫɱɢɬɚɸɬ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ 0,05, ɚ ɨɱɟɧɶ ɦɚɥɨɣ 0,01), ɬɨ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɨɬɜɟɪɝɚɟɬɫɹ. ɗɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɢɬ, ɱɬɨ S – ɜ «ɯɜɨɫɬɚɯ» ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ. Ʉɨɝɞɚ ɝɨɜɨɪɹɬ, ɱɬɨ .«ɧɚɛɥɸɞɟɧɧɨɟ S ɥɟɠɢɬ ɜɧɟ 5- ɩɪɨɰɟɧɬɧɨɝɨ ɩɪɟɞɟɥɚ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ», ɬɨ ɢɦɟɸɬ ɜ ɜɢɞɭ, ɱɬɨ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɹ ɪɚɜɧɨɝɨ ɢɥɢ ɛɨɥɶɲɟɝɨ ɩɨ ɚɛɫɨɥɸɬɧɨɣ ɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ ɦɟɧɶɲɟ, ɱɟɦ 0,05. (Ʉ ɷɬɨɦɭ ɜɨɩɪɨɫɭ ɦɵ ɜɟɪɧɟɦɫɹɜɝɥɚɜɟ V).
ȼ ɧɚɲɟɦ ɩɪɢɦɟɪɟ (N = 8, S = 18, IJ = 0,64) ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɬɨɝɨ, ɱɬɨ |S| 18, ɪɚɜɧɚ 2·0,016, ɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, ɫ ɧɚɞɟɠɧɨɫɬɶɸ, ɧɟ ɦɟɧɶɲɟɣ 0,968, ɦɨɠɧɨ ɫɱɢɬɚɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɦɟɠɞɭ X ɢ Y ɟɫɬɶ ɩɨɥɨɠɢɬɟɥɶɧɚɹ ɫɜɹɡɶ.
Ⱦɨɩɭɫɬɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɞɥɹ N = 10 IJ = – 0,16. əɜɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɥɢ ɷɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ IJ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɦ? ȼ ɞɚɧɧɨɦ ɫɥɭɱɚɟ S = – 7. ȼɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɬɨɝɨ, ɱɬɨ S – 7, ɤɚɤ ɜɢɞɧɨ ɢɡ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ19 Ƚ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3, ɪɚɜɧɚ 0,30 > 0,0520. Ɇɵ ɧɟ ɦɨɠɟɦ ɨɬɜɟɪɝɧɭɬɶ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɭɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɢɫɱɢɬɚɬɶɨɬɪɢɰɚɬɟɥɶɧɭɸ ɫɜɹɡɶɭɫɬɚɧɨɜɥɟɧɧɨɣ.
Ⱦɥɹ N = 10 ɢ IJ = 0,51 (S = + 23) ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɬɨɝɨ, ɱɬɨ S > 23, ɪɚɜɧɚ (ɫɦ. ɬɚɛɥɢɰɭ Ƚ) 0,023, ɚ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ ɬɨɝɨ, ɱɬɨ |S| > 23, ɪɚɜɧɚ 0,046. Ɉɛɟ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɢ ɦɟɧɶɲɟ 0,05. Ƚɢɩɨɬɟɡɭ ɨ ɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɦɨɠɧɨɨɬɜɟɪɝɧɭɬɶɫɛɨɥɶɲɨɣɧɚɞɟɠɧɨɫɬɶɸ (ɧɟ ɦɟɧɶɲɟɣ, ɱɟɦ 0,95).
ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 52. Ⱦɥɹ N = 9 ɢ IJ = – 0,72 ɪɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɟɬɶ ɜɨɩɪɨɫɨɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢIJ. Ɉɬɜɟɬ: ɫ ɧɚɞɟɠɧɨɫɬɶɸ, ɛɨɥɶɲɟɣ0,99 ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɨɬɜɟɪɝɚɟɬɫɹ.
ɍɩɨɦɢɧɚɜɲɚɹɫɹ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɚ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɫɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɚ ɥɢɲɶ ɞɥɹ N 10. Ɉɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ, ɱɬɨ ɞɥɹ N > 10 ɧɟɬ ɧɭɠɞɵ ɫɨɡɞɚɜɚɬɶ ɫɩɟɰɢɚɥɶɧɵɟ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ. Ɇɨɠɧɨ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɫ ɪɨɫɬɨɦ N ɨɱɟɪɬɚɧɢɹ ɩɨɥɢɝɨɧɚ ɱɚɫɬɨɬ ɩɪɢɛɥɢɠɚɸɬɫɹ ɤ ɯɨɪɨɲɨ ɢɡɭɱɟɧɧɨɣ ɜ ɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɤɟ ɤɪɢɜɨɣ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɝɨɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ (ɫɦ. (1,3,4)) ɞɥɹ
ı2 = (1/18)N(N—1 )(2N+5)
ɉɨɷɬɨɦɭ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɬɶ ɬɚɤ ɧɚɡɵɜɚɟɦɭɸ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɭ ɩɥɨɳɚɞɟɣ ɩɨɞ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɣ ɤɪɢɜɨɣ21 (ɫɦ. § 8 ɝɥɚɜɵ V, ɚɬɚɤɠɟɬɚɛɥɢɰɭ Ⱥɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3).
[112]
ɉɨɡɧɚɤɨɦɢɦɫɹ ɫ ɟɳɟ ɨɞɧɨɣ ɮɨɪɦɨɣ ɡɚɩɢɫɢ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ Ʉɟɧɞɷɥɚ. ɉɭɫɬɶ ɤɚɠɞɵɣ ɢɡ N ɢɡɭɱɚɟɦɵɯ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ ɦɨɠɟɬ ɛɵɬɶ ɨɯɚɪɚɤɬɟɪɢɡɨɜɚɧ ɩɨ ɫɬɟɩɟɧɢ ɢɧɬɟɧɫɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɤɚɤ ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚ X, ɬɚɤɢɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚ Y, ɬ.ɟ. ɦɵɡɧɚɟɦɭɤɚɠɞɨɝɨɨɛɴɟɤɬɚɪɚɧɝ ɩɨ X ɢ ɪɚɧɝ ɩɨ Y.
ȼɜɟɞɟɦɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɭ
|
(x) |
(x) |
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°1, |
ɟɫɥɢRr |
Rs |
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ars ® |
(x) |
(x) |
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° |
|||
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% Rs |
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¯ 1,ɟɫɥɢRr |
|||
19ɗɬɚ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɚ ɩɨɫɬɪɨɟɧɚ ɧɚ ɨɫɧɨɜɟ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɨɜ, ɚɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɵɯ ɬɟɦ, ɤɨɬɨɪɵɟ ɜɵɩɨɥɧɟɧɵ ɜ ɩɪɟɞɵɞɭɳɟɦ ɩɪɢɦɟɪɟ (ɞɥɹ ɪɚɡɧɵɯ N ɢ S).
20Ʌɟɝɤɨ ɩɨɧɹɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶ |S| 7 ɪɚɜɧɚ 2·0,300 = 0,600.
21ɉɪɢ ɨɬɫɭɬɫɬɜɢɢ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ IJ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɧɟɩɨɫɪɟɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ ɩɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɸ IJ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ⱦ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.
77
ɝɞɟ Rr(x) – ɪɚɧɝ ɩɨ X r-ɨɝɨ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɚ, ɚ Rs(x) – s-ɨɝɨ. Ⱥɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɨ ɜɜɨɞɢɬɫɹ ɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɚ brs ɞɥɹ
ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɚ Y. ɋɬɚɧɟɦ ɫɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɹɬɶ ɩɚɪɵ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ ɢ ɜɵɱɢɫɥɹɬɶ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɟɞɟɧɢɟ ars · brs. ȿɫɥɢ ɛɨɥɶɲɟɦɭ ɪɚɧɝɭ ɩɨ X ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɟɬ ɛɨɥɶɲɢɣ ɩɨ Y (ɢɥɢ ɦɟɧɶɲɟɦɭ – ɦɟɧɶɲɢɣ), ɬɨ ɷɬɨ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɟɞɟɧɢɟ ɛɭɞɟɬ ɪɚɜɧɨ 1, ɬɚɤ ɤɚɤ ɩɪɢ ɷɬɨɦ ars = brs = 1 (ɥɢɛɨ ars = brs = –1). ȼɩɪɨɬɢɜɧɨɦ ɫɥɭɱɚɟ (ɛɨɥɶɲɟɦɭɪɚɧɝɭɩɨX ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɟɬɦɟɧɶɲɢɣɩɨY ɢɥɢɧɚɨɛɨɪɨɬ) ɩɪɨɢɡɜɟɞɟɧɢɟars brs = –1.
Ɂɚɜɟɪɲɢɜ ɜɫɟɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɵɟ ɫɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɹ ɩɚɪ ɷɥɟɦɟɧɬɨɜ, ɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɦ ɫɭɦɦɭ ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɸɳɢɯ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɟɞɟɧɢɣ S ¦¦ars ubrs . ɑɬɨɛɵ ɨɞɧɭ ɢ ɬɭ ɠɟ ɩɚɪɭ ɨɛɴɟɤɬɨɜ ɧɟ ɫɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɹɬɶ ɞɜɚɠɞɵ,
rs
ɦɵɛɭɞɟɦɨɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɥɹɬɶɫɭɦɦɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɟɩɨr, ɫɤɚɠɟɦ, ɨɬ 1 ɞɨ N, ɧɨ ɬɨɝɞɚ ɩɨ s ɨɬ r + 1 ɞɨ N, ɬ.ɟ. ɩɨ s > r.
ɇɟɬɪɭɞɧɨ ɜɢɞɟɬɶ, ɱɬɨ S > 0, ɟɫɥɢ ɫɜɹɡɶ ɩɪɹɦɚɹ ɢ S < Ɉ, ɟɫɥɢ ɨɛɪɚɬɧɚɹ. S ɛɥɢɡɤɨ ɤ 0, ɟɫɥɢ ɫɜɹɡɢɧɟɬ. ɋɤɨɧɫɬɪɭɢɪɭɟɦɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɭ
NN
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ɇɚɣɞɟɦ ɦɚɤɫɢɦɚɥɶɧɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɱɢɫɥɢɬɟɥɹ. Ɉɧɨ ɞɨɫɬɢɝɚɟɬɫɹ ɬɨɝɞɚ, ɤɨɝɞɚ ɜɫɟ ars · brs.= 1.
ɉɪɢ ɷɬɨɦ IJɬɚɯ = +1 ( ars2 =brs2 =1).
ȺɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɨIJmin = –1.
ȼɵɱɢɫɥɢɦ ¦¦ars2 . ɋɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɢɟ ɤɚɠɞɨɝɨ ɢɡ N ɷɥɟɦɟɧɬɨɜ c ɞɪɭɝɢɦɢ ɩɨɪɨɞɢɬ N – 1
ɟɞɢɧɢɰɭ ( a2 |
= 1). ȼɫɟɝɨ ɬɚɤɢɯ ɟɞɢɧɢɰ ɛɭɞɟɬ |
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N(N 1). Ɇɧɨɠɢɬɟɥɶ |
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ɱɬɨ ɩɪɢ ɬɚɤɨɣ ɫɯɟɦɟ ɩɨɞɫɱɟɬɚ ɤɚɠɞɚɹ ɩɚɪɚ |
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[113] |
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ɷɥɟɦɟɧɬɨɜɫɪɚɜɧɢɜɚɟɬɫɹɞɜɚɠɞɵ. Ɍɚɤɢɦɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ ¦¦ars2 ¦¦brs2 |
N(N 1) |
. ɋɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, |
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ɑɢɫɥɢɬɟɥɶɦɨɠɧɨɧɟɫɤɨɥɶɤɨɭɩɪɨɫɬɢɬɶ. ɊɚɫɩɨɥɨɠɢɦɨɛɴɟɤɬɵɩɨɪɚɧɝɭX, ɬɨɝɞɚɜɫɟars = 1. ɉɪɢɷɬɨɦ
N N |
N N |
¦ ¦ars brs |
¦ ¦ brs P Q , |
r 1 s r 1 |
r 1 s r 1 |
ɝɞɟɊ, ɨɱɟɜɢɞɧɨ, ɩɨɥɭɱɢɦ, ɫɭɦɦɢɪɭɹɱɢɫɥɚ, ɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɸɳɢɟ, ɫɤɨɥɶɤɨɪɚɧɝɨɜɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɜɲɟɝɨɫɹ ɪɚɧɝɨɜɨɝɨɪɹɞɚ Y ɩɪɟɜɵɲɚɸɬɪɚɧɝɢ, ɡɚɧɢɦɚɟɦɵɟɩɟɪɜɵɦ, ɜɬɨɪɵɦɢɬ.ɞ. N-ɧɵɦ, ɚ Q – ɚɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɚɹ ɫɭɦɦɚ, ɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɸɳɚɹ, ɫɤɨɥɶɤɨ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɪɹɞɚ Y ɧɢɠɟ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ, ɡɚɩɢɫɚɧɧɵɯ ɩɟɪɜɵɦ, ɜɬɨɪɵɦ ɢ ɬ.ɞ. N- ɧɵɦ. Ɍɚɤɢɦɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ, ɩɪɢɯɨɞɢɦɤɭɠɟɢɡɜɟɫɬɧɨɦɭɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɭ: ɫɦ. (II,6,1).
ɂɬɚɤ, ɦɵɩɨɡɧɚɤɨɦɢɥɢɫɶɫɧɨɜɨɣɮɨɪɦɨɣɡɚɩɢɫɢɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚɄɟɧɞɷɥɚ(II,6,4).
Ⱦɚɥɟɟ, ɞɨɩɭɫɬɢɦ, ɱɬɨt ɪɚɧɝɨɜɩɨX ɫl+ 1 ɩɨl + t ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɵ, ɬ.ɟ. ɪɚɧɝɨɜɵɣɪɹɞɢɦɟɟɬɜɢɞ:
1,2,...,l,l 1 t ,l 1 t ,...l 1 t ,l t 1,..., N 2 2 2
ɋɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɢɟ ɜɫɟɯ ɧɟ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɫ ɞɪɭɝɢɦɢ, ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɦɢ ɢ ɧɟ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɦɢ, ɞɚɞɭɬ ɬɟ ɠɟ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ, ɱɬɨ ɢ ɪɚɧɟɟ: ɜ ɧɚɲɟɦ ɩɪɢɦɟɪɟ ɪɚɧɝ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɫɟ ɪɚɜɧɨ ɜɵɲɟ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ 1, 2, ..., l ɢ ɧɢɠɟ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ l+ t+ 1, ..., N. ɇɨ ɫɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɢɟ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɦɟɠɞɭ ɫɨɛɨɣ ɧɟ ɛɭɞɟɬ ɩɨɪɨɠɞɚɬɶ ɧɢ +1, ɧɢ –1, ɬɚɤ ɤɚɤ ɷɬɢ ɪɚɧɝɢ ɪɚɜɧɵ. Ⱦɨɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɦ ɬɟɩɟɪɶ ars ɢ
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